Seattle Stoplight Yellow Light Durations

November 23rd, 2009

I am creating a map to identify the location of stoplight cameras in Seattle and record the duration of yellow lights.   Feel free to measure the stoplights in your area and send the information to me in a comment to this post.
View Seattle Stoplight Camera Locations in a larger map

Record the following information (shown with an example):

Intersection: 35th Avenue and Thistle, S.W.
Street: 35th
Direction: northbound
Lane: left and right lanes (as opposed to turning lanes)
Speed limit: 35
Duration of yellow: 3.5 seconds

Make sure to use a stopwatch so you can look at the light. Measure it about five times and average your times. DON’T TRY TO DO THIS WHILE DRIVING.

Great post on Hauser's law

November 17th, 2009

Great post here on Hauser’s law, the observation that tax revenues approximate 20% of GDP regardless of the tax rate.

College student defends himself, kills intruder with sword

November 16th, 2009

As a criminal prosecutor for eight years I confronted numerous weird crimes and acts of violence, but I never had anyone kill someone with a sword as happened recently at John Hopkins University.   Curious whether it makes any difference for most people that the student used a sword rather than a gun to defend himself.

Garner's Daily Plain English Emails

November 16th, 2009

If you are a fan of plain English drafting, or just good writing in general, I recommend signing up for Bryan Garner’s free daily “Usage Tip of the Day” emails.  Garner is the doyen of plain English experts.  He is the author of multiple treatises on the subject, a primary author of the SEC’s Plain English Handbook, and editor of Blacks Law Dictionary.  Here is an example of one of his emails:

Garner’s Usage Tip of the Day

“of”

Today: Signaling Verbosity.

However innocuous it may appear, the word “of” is, in anything other than small doses, among the surest indications of flabby writing. Some fear that “of” and its resulting flabbiness are spreading: “Clearly, ‘of’ is now something more than a mere preposition. It’s a virus.” “All About ‘Of,’” N.Y. Times, 8 Mar. 1992, at 14. The only suitable vaccination is to cultivate a hardy skepticism about its utility in any given context. If it proves itself, fine. Often, though, it will merely breed verbosity — e.g.:

o “In spite of the fact that a great percentage of the media coverage of Muslims mainly targets the negative actions of some splinter groups and several individuals, there are still a shrinking number of people who are still under the false impression that Al-Islam is a ‘bloody and dangerous religion,’ as the Bishop puts it.” Frederick Qasim Khan, “Muslims Do Not Denounce Christians,” Call & Post (Cleveland), 4 Jan. 1996, at A5. (A possible revision: “Because the media frequently put Muslims in a negative light, some continue to believe that Al-Islam is a ‘bloody and dangerous religion,’ as the Bishop puts it.” [Five "of"s to none; 56 words to 28; and heightened logic in the revision.])

o “In light of the high number of requests from retail investors, the Treasury can expect to top the million mark in terms of numbers of small shareholders participating in the privatization.” Deborah Ball, “Telecom IPO in Italy Has Strong Start,” Wall Street J. Europe, 21 Oct. 1997, at 13. (A possible revision: “Given the high demand from retail investors, the Treasury can expect that more than a million small shareholders will participate in the privatization.” [Four "of"s to none; 31 words to 23.])

As the examples illustrate, reducing the “of”s can, even at the sentence level, make the prose much more brisk and readable.

Washington Policy Center's Small Business Conference a success

November 14th, 2009

If you missed Washington Policy Center’s 2009 Small Business Conference last Tuesday you can see a video of some of the panel discussions here.  You can subscribe to WPC’s weekly email letter at the same link.

I was able to attend several sessions of the conference, including the panel discussion on health care.  The panel spent a lot of time talking about ways to increase competition among health insurers.  I would have appreciated more discussion about the moral hazard problem inherent in insurance — a primary cause for increasing health costs.  I sat by State Senator Randi Becker (2nd District, Eatonville).  Senator Becker is a retired health care worker and understand’s the system’s problems well.  Add her to the short of list of state politicians to look to for solutions to the health care mess.  I have previously posted about another one, State Representative Doug Ericksen (42nd District, Ferndale) who understands the health care system well and puts health savings accounts at the top of his list of solutions.

Traffic control should be about increasing safety, not revenue

November 14th, 2009

According to this Seattle Times article, Seattle Councilmember Nick Licata wants to increase use of automated “speed vans” and red-light cameras to increase revenue from traffic tickets.

Traffic control devices or enforcement practices should be about promoting safety, not increasing revenue. Available data indicates that short yellow lights contribute to red light violations, and that traffic safety increases by simply increasing the timing of yellow lights. Of course if revenue enhancement, rather than safety, is your goal, short yellow lights are what you want. Which is why several cities were caught shortening yellow light times just to raise ticket revenue.

This article in The Atlantic, argues that America would do better to follow the British system, which is generally safer than ours, relying less on extensive signals and regulations, and more on driver attention, caution and judgment. The reason is that drivers can pay attention to only so much:

Economists and ecologists sometimes speak of the “tragedy of the commons”—the way rational individual actions can collectively reduce the common good when resources are limited. . . . But what is the limited resource, the commons, in the case of driving? It’s attention. Attending to a sign competes with attending to the road. The more you look for signs, for police, and at your speedometer, the less attentive you will be to traffic conditions.

Why biologists are surprised when predators kill humans

November 1st, 2009
Eastern Coyote Photo by Steve Byland

Eastern Coyote - Photo by Steve Byland

You may have heard by now of the tragic death of Canadian singer-songwriter Taylor Mitchell last week, killed by coyotes while solo hiking in Cape Breton Highlands National Park in Nova Scotia.  As is typical after these types of incidents, wildlife biologists and public land managers are scrambling to find any reason why the animals attacked other than the obvious one — that they were hungry and looking for food.   In this typical article, the Chronicle Herald authors quote Jon Way, said to have studied coyotes for 12 years, and who runs Eastern Coyote Research in Massachusetts:

“I don’t think they regard people, even kids, as an opportunity for a food source, so this is certainly an abnormal attack,” Mr. Way said. “They certainly are not like (big) cats that regard people as food, they just don’t do that.”

I am always baffled at biologists who are baffled when larger predators attack and even kill people.  Mr. Way ought to know that at least one child has been killed by a coyote, and there have been numerous attacks by coyotes on children as well as adults (including an attack on two boys right here in Bellevue in 2006).

One of the reasons I started BEARS and Other Top Predators magazine 11 years ago was that I didn’t trust the information about animal attacks that I was getting from people who should know better — from public land managers and publicly funded wildlife biologists.   For example, when we first started the magazine, many park rangers and even wildlife PhDs told us that there has never been a documented fatal killing of a human by a wolf.  It was repeated like a mantra.  This didn’t ring true, especially since it is common knowledge that dogs sometimes kill humans.  As it turned out, there are numerous documented cases of wolves preying on humans, including some in North America in the last two decades.

Why would someone who has responsibility for public safety ignore evidence that may help people be safer?  No question there is a a preservationist motive involved.  They don’t want people to destroy either individual animals or the species.  But I share the preservationist ethic and I still want to know what my real risk is when I go into the backcountry.

I think there more at work here.  I think there is a tendency with some people, more prevalent on the left side of the political spectrum, to be wishful about the world, to minimize or ignore evidence that the world is hasher than we would like, whether it be about dangerous animals (as in this case), dangerous humans (e.g., ignoring the efficacy of concealed carry laws) or dangerous regimes (e.g., holding fruitless talks while Iran builds nuclear weapon capability).

More by Carter Mackley on this and other animal attacks at FindingWilderness.com.

In 2009, about 40% of income taxes go toward debt interest

October 12th, 2009

Except for a few short years in the 1990s, our national government has spent more every year than it has taken in in taxes.   Every year.  Over and over.   This is not temporary deficit spending based on sound policy objectives to get over short-term recessions in the economy.   Is is an endemic, destructive way of governing by those who have the responsibility to do better.

Lawrence Kadish correctly points out in an op-ed in today’s Wall Street Journal that, in 2009, about 40% of income taxes will go towards interest payments alone:

As of Sept. 30, 2009, the national debt was almost $12 trillion and interest on that debt was $383 billion for the year, according to the Treasury Department’s Bureau of the Public Debt. The Congressional Budget Office on Oct. 7 estimated the 2009 budget deficit to be almost $1.4 trillion (about 10% of GDP). In August, the White House Office of Management and Budget (OMB) estimated total government revenues at about $2 trillion. The revenue estimate included $904 billion from individual income taxes. This means the cost of interest on the debt represented more than 40 cents of every dollar that came in from individual income taxes.

We must reverse course before, as Kadish puts it, the economy plunges into “a level of chaos that would make the  Lehman bankruptcy look like a non-event.”

Seattle actor dies while hiking solo

October 11th, 2009

I was saddened to read yesterday of the death of local actor T.J. Langely. He died while hiking solo in the Glacier Peak backcountry. I interviewed T.J. 10 years ago for my magazine, BEARS and Other Top Predators, after he had been severely injured by a grizzly bear in Yellowstone National Park. That was also while he was hiking solo. I identify with T.J.’s compulsion to go alone to such places. I’ve actually hiked solo myself in the area where he died.

For many of us, wilderness calls to mind more primal times when life choices and opportunities were bounded more by nature, less by the rules and requirements of social institutions. Wilderness visits help recharge our batteries for dealing with the latter. I am not in favor of dismantling the social institutions that make life so much easier now than in primitive times. But I would like to see some of our institutions dialed back a notch, to see modern living a degree or two closer to the hard freedom that our progenitors enjoyed.

My only interaction with T.J. was the one time in the hospital after his quintessential primitive encounter. Judging by his reaction to that difficulty, I would guess that he had many friends, and that he will be sorely missed.

I’ve posted more thoughts on T.J. Langely and information about the area where he died at my backcountry blog FindingWilderness.com.

Nobel Peace Surprise

October 9th, 2009

Yesterday’s piece in The Economist looking at the odds of various candidates to win the Nobel Peace Prize is more interesting after today’s announcement.